All exit polls for elections to five state assemblies, results of which will be out on Tuesday, Dec 11, are unanimous about a Congress victory in Rajasthan but are divided about their predictions for Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh.
Exit polls for Telengana and Mizoram had not been reported till the time of writing.
Taking an aggregate of all exit polls – ‘poll of exit polls’ it called it – the NDTV said it was a close call in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.
About Madhya Pradesh, the channel held that BJP’s Shivraj Singh Chouhan may not return to power for a fourth term, an aggregate of five exit polls showed. Making a composite assessment, it said the BJP will get 112 seats in the state, short of the halfway mark of 115 in the 230 member assembly; the Congress will get 107 seats. Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party will get 2 seats.
In Chhattisgarh, too, the BJP might have cause to worry. According to a similar assessment of the predictions shown in the chart above, the BJP, led by Chief Minister Raman Singh, will get 42 seats, while the Congress will win 41 of the state’s 90 seats. The Ajit Jogi-Mayawati alliance will get 5 seats, the aggregate of six exit polls shows. The majority mark in the assembly lies at 46.
Rajasthan, which has not voted for the same party for two consecutive terms in the last 20 years, will this time pick the Congress, continuing the trend, according to the poll of exit polls. In the 200-member assembly, the BJP will win 74 and the Congress 117, an aggregate of two exit polls have predicted. Mayawati’s BSP will win one seat.
The exit polls came in as the election process concluded with end of voting in Rajasthan and Telangana at 5 pm today. Voting in Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram was held on November 28. In Chhattisgarh, it was held in two phases on November 12 and 20. The results will be declared on December 12. The Election Commission had imposed a month-long ban on the exit polls till the elections to all states had concluded.