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Whoever wins or loses in elections, there are those who always gain. We aren’t talking about ordinary tent-wallahs and the labourers engaged in setting up venues, not even the paid attendees in rallies. The section referred to here, do nothing except make money out of people betting on who is winning: the bookies.

Bets are set in various ways – seat-wise, district-wise, division-wise, total for the state and also number of states.

Here we have one set of estimates as per the bookies, for Rajasthan.

The overall total paints a dismal picture for BJP. BJP’s star campaigner Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s hectic campaigning, vitriolic attacks, the ploy of roping in AgustaWestland case at the very end of campaign and even turning the election into ‘Naamdar’ (for Rahul Gandhi’s family name) and ‘Kaamdar’ (referring to himself) and suggesting that the ‘Razdar’ – the alleged middleman in AgustaWestland chopper deal Christian Michel – would reveal names of Rahul-Sonia family: nothing seems to have swayed the people intent on seeing the Vasundhara Raje government out.  That, at least, seems to be the assessment of the bookies.

They give the BJP a mere 42 seats, as against 111 to Congress in the 200-member state Assembly. The Congress would thus seem set for a win despite itself, with its top state leaders trying to get each other’s candidates defeated.

Others are estimated to get 15, while there is tough contest on 31 seats making prediction difficult. Election for one seat has been cancelled.

Read the complete list here.


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